May Market Outlook: Good
Good day.
As mention before this, the market is going to have some correction.
It is a 3 weeks correction where wall street is in red.
1. What is the coming market outlook? This will be always the question.
Usually market correction for a major moving will be 2 weeks to 4 weeks. I will expect another week of side way and there will be going up again.
In the previous session, the market had break through the 1460 ceiling, it is expected to go higher then this point.
2. What happen to Spin and Euro collapse? Will this affect the market?
If you look into details of US economy, the earning call basically is doing better then expected most of the time. Euro economy meltdown start since last 2 years and it is not doing any good. Until now, it seems no sign of solution, or solid solution provide. But the market is already "use to it". There will be not much surprise on the bad news in Euro.
I expect the market will not move much on Euro bad news until Aug 2012, where Greece have to ask for fund from ECB again.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Market Direction - 28 March 2012
Lately boost up since beginning of year 2012 had bring the market to 52 weeks high, even up to a 2 years high.
This shows a good sign of economy recovery. Additional news on lower unemployment rate shows a more solid sign on economy recovery.
According to the study; the current situation is very similar to what happen in Nov 2010.
The prediction for current market move will be having some correction; Might hit on EMA 7 and continue bullish until the Bollinger band show narrowing for a change.
This shows a good sign of economy recovery. Additional news on lower unemployment rate shows a more solid sign on economy recovery.
According to the study; the current situation is very similar to what happen in Nov 2010.
The prediction for current market move will be having some correction; Might hit on EMA 7 and continue bullish until the Bollinger band show narrowing for a change.
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Outlook at Week 50 Year 2010
Q: Do you think we still can go into the market?
A: The index shows we are at the high side, it has been long time since our last adjustment.
Let us look at US market, Dow Jones & S&P 500 is already at 52 weeks highest.
The Market is seeking for an adjustment before it can go up again.
From the bollinger band, it still have some windows to go up. But it depends on you whether to take this opportunity lost or you will want to save your bullet (cash) and make a better shoot in coming adjustment.
Q: Why should we concern on US Market, instead we are in Asia?
A: US market is consider international market.
Most of the international trading still using USD, although it is mention for sometime that the traders does not like the volatile of USD lately.
In Asia, Japan is the 1st who open market, then follow by Singapore, Malaysia and HongKong will be later. If you monitor the trend, HongKong having the most influences in Asia. If HangSeng open in high, it will bring up Singapore and Malaysia market, Nikkie also might follow.
Q: Do you have any suggestion for our investor?
A: It is always good to keep cash, because it is always the King. The market is uncertain in this condition, there is window for going up; but there is also risk for adjustment. For market, we always come back to a theory, which ever go up must come down; which ever come down must go up. So it is better for us to keep cash in this moment, and wait for the adjustment.
We will always have opportunity on keeping cash. We can wait a clearer view to get a better shoot.
Q: When will be the right time to go into the market?
A: When the market had come down and calm. The market always need energy to go up. Look into the PE Ratio. It always can tell a better story.
A: The index shows we are at the high side, it has been long time since our last adjustment.
Let us look at US market, Dow Jones & S&P 500 is already at 52 weeks highest.
The Market is seeking for an adjustment before it can go up again.
From the bollinger band, it still have some windows to go up. But it depends on you whether to take this opportunity lost or you will want to save your bullet (cash) and make a better shoot in coming adjustment.
Q: Why should we concern on US Market, instead we are in Asia?
A: US market is consider international market.
Most of the international trading still using USD, although it is mention for sometime that the traders does not like the volatile of USD lately.
In Asia, Japan is the 1st who open market, then follow by Singapore, Malaysia and HongKong will be later. If you monitor the trend, HongKong having the most influences in Asia. If HangSeng open in high, it will bring up Singapore and Malaysia market, Nikkie also might follow.
Q: Do you have any suggestion for our investor?
A: It is always good to keep cash, because it is always the King. The market is uncertain in this condition, there is window for going up; but there is also risk for adjustment. For market, we always come back to a theory, which ever go up must come down; which ever come down must go up. So it is better for us to keep cash in this moment, and wait for the adjustment.
We will always have opportunity on keeping cash. We can wait a clearer view to get a better shoot.
Q: When will be the right time to go into the market?
A: When the market had come down and calm. The market always need energy to go up. Look into the PE Ratio. It always can tell a better story.
Thursday, December 9, 2010
Q&A for Pchem - WA
Q: What is Pchem - WA?
A: Pchem - WA is an Europe call warrent at RM 5; the term is 5:1. Expiration date is at Aug 2011. and cash settle.
Q: What is that means?
A: Europe Call Warrent meaning, you can only Exchange the warrent to the mother share on the expiration
date.
Term 5:1 meaning, 5 warrent is to exchange to 1 mother share
Expiration date meaning, the Warrent will expire. or de- listing at Aug 2011.
Cash Settle, at the expiration date, you will not get any share, it is all cash settle.
So the fair value to calculate for this warrent to be equal to mother share is:
5 x W + RM5 = Mother Share (Pchem)
Q: Why people buying this warrent?
A: Warrent is a way to invest, whereby you can use small money to earn big money. Example, according to
fair value, the warrent is currently at 0.20; and the mother share at RM 5. Let say mother share goes up
0.10; the return is just 2%. The warrent should go up by 0.02; and the return is 10%.
A: Pchem - WA is an Europe call warrent at RM 5; the term is 5:1. Expiration date is at Aug 2011. and cash settle.
Q: What is that means?
A: Europe Call Warrent meaning, you can only Exchange the warrent to the mother share on the expiration
date.
Term 5:1 meaning, 5 warrent is to exchange to 1 mother share
Expiration date meaning, the Warrent will expire. or de- listing at Aug 2011.
Cash Settle, at the expiration date, you will not get any share, it is all cash settle.
So the fair value to calculate for this warrent to be equal to mother share is:
5 x W + RM5 = Mother Share (Pchem)
Q: Why people buying this warrent?
A: Warrent is a way to invest, whereby you can use small money to earn big money. Example, according to
fair value, the warrent is currently at 0.20; and the mother share at RM 5. Let say mother share goes up
0.10; the return is just 2%. The warrent should go up by 0.02; and the return is 10%.
S&P vs Future (/ES)
/ES is future for S&P 500.
Normally ES is lowe then SPX. This is because of a common theory, that you are buying something that only will deliver to you in future and is not now..
ES come with an expiration date. When the new ES contract started, the price different is bigger. When time goes, the expiration date become nearer, the price will move nearer to SPX.
Fair Value is a number that "think" what should ES be. For Example, Let say SPX is at 1230, the time to reach the expiration is 3 months. After some calculation, ES Fair Value should stay at 1225.
Normally ES won't move too much from SPX and Fair Value.
Happy investing..!!!
Normally ES is lowe then SPX. This is because of a common theory, that you are buying something that only will deliver to you in future and is not now..
ES come with an expiration date. When the new ES contract started, the price different is bigger. When time goes, the expiration date become nearer, the price will move nearer to SPX.
Fair Value is a number that "think" what should ES be. For Example, Let say SPX is at 1230, the time to reach the expiration is 3 months. After some calculation, ES Fair Value should stay at 1225.
Normally ES won't move too much from SPX and Fair Value.
Happy investing..!!!
Friday, June 18, 2010
Sunway REIT Evaluation
Property Involve
IPO : 1.655 billion units (62%) Company holding : 1 billion units (38%)
Let us compare Sunway REIT and some other REIT in Malaysia
Conclusion
Based on this analysis, Sunway REIT is not so attractive in cash flow gain (lowest div yield) compare to other REIT.
But Sunway REIT did very well in capital growth. The NAV of their properties growth 318% in 4 years time.
Since this is the IPO, probably Sunway REIT will offer at price near to NAV. In Malaysia, most of the REIT price is lower than NAV. This will probably affect on Sunway REIT market price when they start trading in Bursa Malaysia.
Note: All data source from Bursa Malaysia. This is all personal opinion and understanding.
1. Sunway Pyramid RM 2,300,000,000
2. Sunway Carnival RM 250,000,000
3. Suncity Ipoh Hypermarket RM 50,000,0004. Sunway Hotel RM 480,000,000
5. Pyramid Tower Hotel RM 270,000,000
6. Sunway Hotel Seberang J RM 56,000,000
7. Menara Sunway RM 138,000,0008. Sunway Tower RM 185,000,000
Total property value : RM 3.729 billion
Current Liability : RM 1.01 billion
Fund by : 2.62billion units
NAV per share : RM 0.97 per share
Let us compare Sunway REIT and some other REIT in Malaysia
Conclusion
Based on this analysis, Sunway REIT is not so attractive in cash flow gain (lowest div yield) compare to other REIT.
But Sunway REIT did very well in capital growth. The NAV of their properties growth 318% in 4 years time.
Since this is the IPO, probably Sunway REIT will offer at price near to NAV. In Malaysia, most of the REIT price is lower than NAV. This will probably affect on Sunway REIT market price when they start trading in Bursa Malaysia.
Note: All data source from Bursa Malaysia. This is all personal opinion and understanding.
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
June Information
Low P/B Ratio
http://www.sharesinv.com/
Note: Please look for the latest info update in the Monthly Info Page
- Gula Perak
- Petaling Tin
- Kenmark Industrial Co
- Advance Synergy
- Majuperak Holding
- Karambunai Corp
- Golsta Synergy
- Komarkcorp
- Focal Aim Holdings
- Pasdec Hldgs
- Consumer - 14.6
- Construction - 15.4
- Finance - 18.5
- Hotel - 27.7
- Industrial Product - 12
- Infrastructure - 18
- Plantation - 20.4
- Property - 10.9
- REIT - 6.7
- Trade / Service - 17.3
- Technology - 16.9
- Lion Forest Industries - 1.6
- Ranhill - 1.8
- LCL Corp - 1.8
- Harvest Cort Industries - 1.9
- Advance Synergy - 2.1
- Hup Seng Industries - 15.8%
- M'sia Bulk Carries - 13.5%
- Complete Logistics Svcs - 12%
- M3 Tech - 11.4%
- Tek Seng Hldgs - 11.1%
http://www.sharesinv.com/
Note: Please look for the latest info update in the Monthly Info Page
Sunday, June 6, 2010
Technical Analysis
If you are investor that going into Trader Model; This is a very important topic you MUST know.
Imagine if you could get the indication from the market on Right Time to Buy in and Right Time to Sell out.
I know everyone would say buy low sell high; But when will you know the price that you buy is low enough, and the price that you sell is high enough.
Technical Analysis shows an indication that the price will most probably going up or going down.
This is the list of Technical Indication:
Thanks to Chartnexus; we can install the software for FREE and all this data will be available for you in your computer.
Imagine if you could get the indication from the market on Right Time to Buy in and Right Time to Sell out.
I know everyone would say buy low sell high; But when will you know the price that you buy is low enough, and the price that you sell is high enough.
Technical Analysis shows an indication that the price will most probably going up or going down.
This is the list of Technical Indication:
- Accumulation / Distribution
- Average Directional Index (ADX)
- Average True Range (ATR)
- Bollinger Bands
- Candles Sticks Formation
- Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
- Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
- Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA)
- Momentum
- Money Flow Index (MFI)
- Moving Average (MA)
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
- On Balance Volume (OBV)
- Parabolic Stop and Reversal (Parabolic SAR)
- Price and Volume Trend (PVT)
- Rate of Change (ROC)
- Relative Strenght Index (RSI)
- Stochastics
- Williams' %R
Thanks to Chartnexus; we can install the software for FREE and all this data will be available for you in your computer.
Saturday, June 5, 2010
Bond and Loan
Boan and Loan act very different according to the agreement.
Basically bond and loan is issue when the company is need of money and want to borrow money from the share holders instead of borrowing money from bank.
In bond / loan; the company will agree on a fixed interest rate pay to the loan / bond share holder. BUT normally this interest rate is low and is not attractive.
Because the company does not want to pay out cash on the expiry date;
Normally Bond and Loan will issue the Irredeemable Convertible Unsecured Loan Stock (ICULS).
And this is the part that make loan / bond more interesting.
ICULS is totally based on the aggrement; it can be structure in:
i) Loan / Bond + Fixed Price to exchange to mother share at the expiry date
or
ii) Fixed Number of loan / bond to exchange to mother share
or
iii) Any other method based on Agreement
Again, example will give a better picture:
Berjaya Loan - ICULS
Loan share holder can exchange to mother share with
i) 2 warrant convert to 1 mother share at the expiry date
or
ii) 1 warrant + RM 0.50 to exchange to 1 mother share at expiry date
This gives a various way for you to determine the FAIR PRICE of this loan
Case 1
Let say Currently BJ Corp at RM 1.50
If we use (i) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 1.50 / 2 = RM 0.75
If we use (ii) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 1.50 - RM 0.50 = RM 1
IF THE ACTUAL MARKET value this loan at (i) method, RM 0.75; then everyone might want to buy it because once you are having the share; you can choose the (ii) method to exchange on the mother share
So, the Fair Price in this case should follow on (ii) method which is RM 1
Case 2
Let say Currently BJ Corp is at RM 0.80
If we use (i) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 0.80 / 2 = RM 0.40
If we use (ii) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 0.80 - RM 0.50 = RM 0.30
IF THE ACTUAL MARKET value this loan at method (ii) RM 0.30; then everyone might want to buy it because once you are having the share; you can choose the (i) method to exchange on the mother share
So, the Fair Price in this case should follow on (i) method which is RM 0.40
Note: In Bond / Loan Market, the agreement can be different. And you can only redeem the mother share at its expiry date. You will need to monitor closely on the mother share value according too the agreement.
Basically bond and loan is issue when the company is need of money and want to borrow money from the share holders instead of borrowing money from bank.
In bond / loan; the company will agree on a fixed interest rate pay to the loan / bond share holder. BUT normally this interest rate is low and is not attractive.
Because the company does not want to pay out cash on the expiry date;
Normally Bond and Loan will issue the Irredeemable Convertible Unsecured Loan Stock (ICULS).
And this is the part that make loan / bond more interesting.
ICULS is totally based on the aggrement; it can be structure in:
i) Loan / Bond + Fixed Price to exchange to mother share at the expiry date
or
ii) Fixed Number of loan / bond to exchange to mother share
or
iii) Any other method based on Agreement
Again, example will give a better picture:
Berjaya Loan - ICULS
Loan share holder can exchange to mother share with
i) 2 warrant convert to 1 mother share at the expiry date
or
ii) 1 warrant + RM 0.50 to exchange to 1 mother share at expiry date
This gives a various way for you to determine the FAIR PRICE of this loan
Case 1
Let say Currently BJ Corp at RM 1.50
If we use (i) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 1.50 / 2 = RM 0.75
If we use (ii) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 1.50 - RM 0.50 = RM 1
IF THE ACTUAL MARKET value this loan at (i) method, RM 0.75; then everyone might want to buy it because once you are having the share; you can choose the (ii) method to exchange on the mother share
So, the Fair Price in this case should follow on (ii) method which is RM 1
Case 2
Let say Currently BJ Corp is at RM 0.80
If we use (i) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 0.80 / 2 = RM 0.40
If we use (ii) method; the FAIR PRICE of this loan should be
RM 0.80 - RM 0.50 = RM 0.30
IF THE ACTUAL MARKET value this loan at method (ii) RM 0.30; then everyone might want to buy it because once you are having the share; you can choose the (i) method to exchange on the mother share
So, the Fair Price in this case should follow on (i) method which is RM 0.40
Note: In Bond / Loan Market, the agreement can be different. And you can only redeem the mother share at its expiry date. You will need to monitor closely on the mother share value according too the agreement.
Friday, June 4, 2010
Exchange Trade Fund
Exchange Trade Fund (ETF) is a fund to buy into all the shares according to the index.
A simple understanding of ETF is; an index stock.
In Bursa Malaysia, we have FBMKLCI. This is the index stock of KLCI. The price of FBMKLCI will move according to KLCI.
Let say today KLCI closing at 1294 points; then FBMKLCI will close at RM 1.294
If you does like index a lot; this will be your choice of stock to invest. You can trade like other stocks.
Having this stock is like investing in all shares in KLCI index (Please remember KLCI is just based on TOP 30 company)
ETF will trade freely in the market; But the price is very very near to the NAV of the index
ETF will announce the NAV daily; and will give out dividen in a fixed period.
A simple understanding of ETF is; an index stock.
In Bursa Malaysia, we have FBMKLCI. This is the index stock of KLCI. The price of FBMKLCI will move according to KLCI.
Let say today KLCI closing at 1294 points; then FBMKLCI will close at RM 1.294
If you does like index a lot; this will be your choice of stock to invest. You can trade like other stocks.
Having this stock is like investing in all shares in KLCI index (Please remember KLCI is just based on TOP 30 company)
ETF will trade freely in the market; But the price is very very near to the NAV of the index
ETF will announce the NAV daily; and will give out dividen in a fixed period.
Warrant
Warrant is a “Structured Share” of the mother share in a certain of period
The structure of Warrant consists of 2 kinds of price
i) Fixed price
ii) Market Price
It is a bit hard to explain in defination; so let us just pick an example.
Example:
JCY issue a warrant to the market,
i) Fixed price of warrant is RM 1.00
ii) Let say the exchange ratio is 2 warrant : 1 mother share
iii) The Fair price of this warrant in the market is 25sen. (Market might value it a bit higher or lower)
If JCY go up to RM 1.60; the Warrant will be value at RM 0.30
BUT, if JCY went lower then RM 1.00, let say RM 0.90; this warrant will be worthless.
All warrant come with a due date.
If the warrant reach its due date; and the Mother share price is lower then Fixed Price, then this warrant will be expired worthless.
Opportunity and Treats
Because of the fixed price; warrant is issue in low price
Price movement of warrant will be similar to mother share
Percentage of price movement in warrant will be big compare with the mother share
Eg.
JCY up 10sen; the warrant also up 10sen
ROI of JCY = 10 / 150 = 6.7%
ROI of JCY warrant = 5 / 25 = 20%
Of course, if price goes up the earning % is high; if price goes down the losing % will be also high
As mention above; if the due date approach and the mother share is lower then the fixed price; this warrant will be Expired Worthless. Someone might ask how could this be.
Eg.
JCY market price is RM 0.90
If you want to execute your warrant; you will need to pay RM 1.00(with 2 warrant share) to exchange for 1 mother share INSTEAD of buying in the market for RM 0.90
Of course you will not execute in this trade. So it just expired worthless.
Friday, May 28, 2010
Closed End Fund
Close End fund is similar with mutual fund;
Closed End Fund is a stock invest into a Fixed Investment Fund.
For Example,
i Capital Biz (is the only Closed End Fund in Bursa Malaysia) is investing a fund of
RM 1,000,000 and they issue 1,000,000 shares
IPO for this fund is RM 1/share
Through out the years, the fund become bigger, let say it grow to RM 2,000,000
So, the NAV for this share is RM 2/share
Since this Fund is list in the stock market, the price may be different from the NAV. It can be higher or lower then the NAV.
Closed End Fund is a share that only based on investment. The NAV is calculate based on the investment portfolio devide by Total Shares.
Closed End Fund vs Mutual Fund
If we compare with Mutual Fund, Mutual Fund is consider as Open End Fund. The Fund portfolio is open (before reaching its high limit); where by this fund can be growing if more people put money into the fund; and it may become smaller when the people draw out money from this fund.
Mutual Fund only can trade between the unit holder and bank / fund manager.
Closed End Fund can trade in Bursa Malaysia to all traders.
Mutual Fund is trade in NAV;
Closed End Fund is trade based on buying and selling price in the Trade Market.
Closed End Fund is a stock invest into a Fixed Investment Fund.
For Example,
i Capital Biz (is the only Closed End Fund in Bursa Malaysia) is investing a fund of
RM 1,000,000 and they issue 1,000,000 shares
IPO for this fund is RM 1/share
Through out the years, the fund become bigger, let say it grow to RM 2,000,000
So, the NAV for this share is RM 2/share
Since this Fund is list in the stock market, the price may be different from the NAV. It can be higher or lower then the NAV.
Closed End Fund is a share that only based on investment. The NAV is calculate based on the investment portfolio devide by Total Shares.
Closed End Fund vs Mutual Fund
If we compare with Mutual Fund, Mutual Fund is consider as Open End Fund. The Fund portfolio is open (before reaching its high limit); where by this fund can be growing if more people put money into the fund; and it may become smaller when the people draw out money from this fund.
Mutual Fund only can trade between the unit holder and bank / fund manager.
Closed End Fund can trade in Bursa Malaysia to all traders.
Mutual Fund is trade in NAV;
Closed End Fund is trade based on buying and selling price in the Trade Market.
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Real Estate Investment Trust
The diagram above shows an example and explain the concept of REIT. In this case, we use KLCC as an example, but in reality, KLCC is not under REIT.
When you buy REIT, you are consider as owner of the building. This fund, hire a management team to manage this building.
Duty of Building Management include:
1. Maintain the building
2. Rent out the space
3. Collect Rental from tenant
REIT is different from other stocks, they have a policy that; REIT MUST pay out 80-90% of the rental profit (rental – management fee) to all share holder in dividend through period of time (quarterly, half yearly, or yearly).
Owning a REIT is like owning a part of the building.
Benefit of REIT
1. Stable; having a property as the Main Asset Value
2. Still under value (most of the REIT in Malaysia still 30% under of its NAV)
3. High cash flow return (around 8% for commercial REIT, eg Amfirst, Axreit, Stareit)
4. Easy to quit compare to buying an Property
5. Low commission fee compare to Mutual Fund (just need to pay broker fee as normal share trading)
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Types of Stocks in Bursa Malaysia
Do you think all stocks listed in Bursa Malaysia is the same? Then you are wrong.
There is kinds of Stocks in Bursa Malaysia that offer you different kinds of investment tools according to different kinds of investment strategy and target.
Here, we will brieftly tell you about Types of Stocks that you can trade in Bursa Malaysia. We will explain more in specific later.
A. General Shares / Company Stocks
Normal company that list in Bursa Malaysia. They have to full fill the public listing requirement. Once you own the stocks, you are one of the owner in the company.
These stocks devide into 11 industrial:
1. Consumer Products
2. Industrial Products
3. Construction
4. Trading / Service
5. Technology
6. Infrastructure
7. Finance
8. Hotel
9. Properties
10. Plantation
11. Mining
B. REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust)
This is a fund on Real Estate (Buildings). This fund hire a management team to manage on the buildings, rent out the building and collect rental. The earning of rental payment will convert to dividend and pay off to the fund owner (share holders).
C. Closed End Fund
This is exactly same as mutual fund. Normal mutual fund can only buy and sell to the Trustee (Bank). The buying and selling price is fixed; and is represent the NAV of the fund. And the dividend they pay will be deduct from the NAV.
For Closed End Fund, you can trade in Bursa Malaysia. The price is depends on the market (buyer and seller). It can be higher or lower then the real NAV. It will give dividend in term basis, but it won't deduct from your primary stock price. It depends on the market movement.
D. Warrants
This is a Fixed Condition Trade Agreement. The warrants must come with the mother share. Warrant give you an option to buy back the mother share by adding certain amount of value.
E. Bond and Loan
This is the loan from the company. The company will pay you interest as agreed in the bond. The agreement upon bond can be different. It can be a fixed price upon maturity, convert to mother share with a secondary condition, payment according to mother shares and many more.
You will need to read on the agreement on the Bond Loan when you purchase this shares.
F. Exchange Traded Fund
This is trade againts the index. This fund operate as the index value. The NAV will move according to the index value. When you buy this stocks, you cna imagine you are buying the whole industry; or all shares that include in the index.
Note: All kinds of stock is trade in Bursa Malaysia. Price will be depends on the market. But the nature of stocks will act differently. We will discuss all kinds of stocks in details.
There is kinds of Stocks in Bursa Malaysia that offer you different kinds of investment tools according to different kinds of investment strategy and target.
Here, we will brieftly tell you about Types of Stocks that you can trade in Bursa Malaysia. We will explain more in specific later.
A. General Shares / Company Stocks
Normal company that list in Bursa Malaysia. They have to full fill the public listing requirement. Once you own the stocks, you are one of the owner in the company.
These stocks devide into 11 industrial:
1. Consumer Products
2. Industrial Products
3. Construction
4. Trading / Service
5. Technology
6. Infrastructure
7. Finance
8. Hotel
9. Properties
10. Plantation
11. Mining
B. REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust)
This is a fund on Real Estate (Buildings). This fund hire a management team to manage on the buildings, rent out the building and collect rental. The earning of rental payment will convert to dividend and pay off to the fund owner (share holders).
C. Closed End Fund
This is exactly same as mutual fund. Normal mutual fund can only buy and sell to the Trustee (Bank). The buying and selling price is fixed; and is represent the NAV of the fund. And the dividend they pay will be deduct from the NAV.
For Closed End Fund, you can trade in Bursa Malaysia. The price is depends on the market (buyer and seller). It can be higher or lower then the real NAV. It will give dividend in term basis, but it won't deduct from your primary stock price. It depends on the market movement.
D. Warrants
This is a Fixed Condition Trade Agreement. The warrants must come with the mother share. Warrant give you an option to buy back the mother share by adding certain amount of value.
E. Bond and Loan
This is the loan from the company. The company will pay you interest as agreed in the bond. The agreement upon bond can be different. It can be a fixed price upon maturity, convert to mother share with a secondary condition, payment according to mother shares and many more.
You will need to read on the agreement on the Bond Loan when you purchase this shares.
F. Exchange Traded Fund
This is trade againts the index. This fund operate as the index value. The NAV will move according to the index value. When you buy this stocks, you cna imagine you are buying the whole industry; or all shares that include in the index.
Note: All kinds of stock is trade in Bursa Malaysia. Price will be depends on the market. But the nature of stocks will act differently. We will discuss all kinds of stocks in details.
Risk Profiler
Answer below questionnaire to find out risk profile of yours:
1. Do you believe luck is important in making your investment decision?
a. Yes
b. Sometimes
c. No
2. When you hear unexpected adverse or bad financial news, you
a. Stay calm
b. Rarely overreact
c. Panic
3. Would you invest in a stock based on a friend’s tip?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
4. Between a new position offering greater job security with lesser pay and another with a higher pay but less job security, which would you select?
a. Higher pay
b. Not sure
c. Greater job security
5. Would you borrow money to make an investment that might double your money?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
6. If you have invested in a stock that rose 30% within 6 months after you bought it you would
a. Do nothing or buy more shares
b. Sell some shares
c. Sell all your shares
7. If you could increase your chances of improving your returns by taking more risk, you would
a. Take more risk with 20% of your money
b. Take some risk with 10% of your money
c. Unwilling to take much more risk
8. What percentage of your household income (after tax) is spent each month paying off credit card bills, car payments and either on rent or mortgage payments?
a. More than 50%
b. Between 25% and 50%
c. Less than 25%
9. Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings about investment risk?
a. I prefer to take higher risk for better returns
b. I prefer to select a balanced mix of investments to lower my risk
c. I prefer to stay conservative with low returns
10. Do you expect your future earning over the next five years to
a. Increase
b. Stay the same
c. Decrease
11. Would you invest in individual stocks or equity (stock-base) unit trusts?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
12. If you know investing EPF fund could potentially gives you higher return, would you invest?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
SCORING
For all questions,
a = 3 points
b = 2 points
c = 1 point
Total score Investor Profile
12-18 points Conservative
19-29 points Moderate
30-36 points Aggressive
Note: By knowing your Risk Profile and Risk Capacity, you can decide your Strategy of Investment.
We will discuss about the risk capacity in next topic.
1. Do you believe luck is important in making your investment decision?
a. Yes
b. Sometimes
c. No
2. When you hear unexpected adverse or bad financial news, you
a. Stay calm
b. Rarely overreact
c. Panic
3. Would you invest in a stock based on a friend’s tip?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
4. Between a new position offering greater job security with lesser pay and another with a higher pay but less job security, which would you select?
a. Higher pay
b. Not sure
c. Greater job security
5. Would you borrow money to make an investment that might double your money?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
6. If you have invested in a stock that rose 30% within 6 months after you bought it you would
a. Do nothing or buy more shares
b. Sell some shares
c. Sell all your shares
7. If you could increase your chances of improving your returns by taking more risk, you would
a. Take more risk with 20% of your money
b. Take some risk with 10% of your money
c. Unwilling to take much more risk
8. What percentage of your household income (after tax) is spent each month paying off credit card bills, car payments and either on rent or mortgage payments?
a. More than 50%
b. Between 25% and 50%
c. Less than 25%
9. Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings about investment risk?
a. I prefer to take higher risk for better returns
b. I prefer to select a balanced mix of investments to lower my risk
c. I prefer to stay conservative with low returns
10. Do you expect your future earning over the next five years to
a. Increase
b. Stay the same
c. Decrease
11. Would you invest in individual stocks or equity (stock-base) unit trusts?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
12. If you know investing EPF fund could potentially gives you higher return, would you invest?
a. Yes
b. Maybe
c. No
SCORING
For all questions,
a = 3 points
b = 2 points
c = 1 point
Total score Investor Profile
12-18 points Conservative
19-29 points Moderate
30-36 points Aggressive
Note: By knowing your Risk Profile and Risk Capacity, you can decide your Strategy of Investment.
We will discuss about the risk capacity in next topic.
Friday, May 21, 2010
Tax in Stock Investment
Some people might still confuse on Tax paying on Stock Investment. Here we will share the Taxing in Stock investment.
There is 2 kinds of income in Stock investment. (We don't discuss about lost, because there is no Tax in losing money)
1. Capital Gain
This income generate when you buy a share in a lower price and sell it in a higher price. You can only get this income when you sell off your shares.
This kind of income is TAX FREE!!! We does not need to pay any tax on capital gain. (If you are having an investment company that manage a fund, that is a different case)
2. Cashflow Gain
This income generate when the company decide to pay our a dividend. Normally the divedend will be Tax Deduct upfront. And the Tax deduction is on a maximum rate - 25%(except for REIT and some other kind of share).
In this case, it is better if you report your Dividend in your Income Tax Submition. Because you already paid all the Tax in a maximum rate.
(Malaysia is having a regulation that all the Tax will be deduct upfront before giving dividend starting on year 2012. This means all dividend also will be TAX FREE as well. Because the government already Tax it when the company make profit.)
Eg.
Maybank is giving 11sens devidend in year 2010. And you are having 1000 units.
The cheque that you will get is 11sens x 1000 - 25% = RM 82.50
And you had paid Tax for RM 27.50
Let say your Taxible income highest rate is 14%;
So when you report this Dividen in your Income Tax, you also report the Tax Paid (RM 27.50).
In a way, LHDN need to return you 11% of the tax collected in your divedend = RM 12.10
After all is your duty to report the Tax correctly. Happy investing and paying Tax.
There is 2 kinds of income in Stock investment. (We don't discuss about lost, because there is no Tax in losing money)
1. Capital Gain
This income generate when you buy a share in a lower price and sell it in a higher price. You can only get this income when you sell off your shares.
This kind of income is TAX FREE!!! We does not need to pay any tax on capital gain. (If you are having an investment company that manage a fund, that is a different case)
2. Cashflow Gain
This income generate when the company decide to pay our a dividend. Normally the divedend will be Tax Deduct upfront. And the Tax deduction is on a maximum rate - 25%(except for REIT and some other kind of share).
In this case, it is better if you report your Dividend in your Income Tax Submition. Because you already paid all the Tax in a maximum rate.
(Malaysia is having a regulation that all the Tax will be deduct upfront before giving dividend starting on year 2012. This means all dividend also will be TAX FREE as well. Because the government already Tax it when the company make profit.)
Eg.
Maybank is giving 11sens devidend in year 2010. And you are having 1000 units.
The cheque that you will get is 11sens x 1000 - 25% = RM 82.50
And you had paid Tax for RM 27.50
Let say your Taxible income highest rate is 14%;
So when you report this Dividen in your Income Tax, you also report the Tax Paid (RM 27.50).
In a way, LHDN need to return you 11% of the tax collected in your divedend = RM 12.10
After all is your duty to report the Tax correctly. Happy investing and paying Tax.
Evaluate Stock by PB ratio
In previous article, we had discussed in PE ratio. In this chapter, we would like to discuss another important indication - PB ratio.
PB ratio stand for Price / Book value ratio. Book Value meaning the Net Asset Value for the stock.
In the financial report or some other sources, you can get the NAV for the share. The NAV is determine by Total Asset Value / Total share.
Eg.
Airasia
Total Asset Value is RM 2,676,586,000
Total Share Issued is 2,759,368,000
NAV or Book Value per share is RM 2,676,586,000 / 2,759,368,000 = RM 0.97 per share.
Current Price is RM 1.17
PB ratio is 1.2; meaning the market price is higher then the NAV for 20%
Please dun mistaken that PB ratio >1 meaning the share is over value. This is just one of the analysing factor. Because a lot of business does not own Asset but still valued. Especially for Nasdaq company (IT company). Normally for this kind of company they own Intellectual Properties (IP) which is not count as Asset in this case. So normally their PB ratio is very high.
So when you want to compare on PB ratio, you must compare with the same nature of business (as mention in PE Ratio Analyse).
PB ratio create a "Safe Impression". If the PB ratio is near to 1 or less then 1; then if anything happen, this company still can sell of its Asset and create that value to the share holder.
In most case, the Asset value is created by Product Stock of the company, building, machine, etc.
When you are using PB ratio as analysis, please also consider the nature of the business. If this business collapes, will the "Asset" decrease in value?
Note: PB ratio cannot be use as the only analyse index. Some NAV might over valued by the company to show it is more interesting.
PB ratio stand for Price / Book value ratio. Book Value meaning the Net Asset Value for the stock.
In the financial report or some other sources, you can get the NAV for the share. The NAV is determine by Total Asset Value / Total share.
Eg.
Airasia
Total Asset Value is RM 2,676,586,000
Total Share Issued is 2,759,368,000
NAV or Book Value per share is RM 2,676,586,000 / 2,759,368,000 = RM 0.97 per share.
Current Price is RM 1.17
PB ratio is 1.2; meaning the market price is higher then the NAV for 20%
Please dun mistaken that PB ratio >1 meaning the share is over value. This is just one of the analysing factor. Because a lot of business does not own Asset but still valued. Especially for Nasdaq company (IT company). Normally for this kind of company they own Intellectual Properties (IP) which is not count as Asset in this case. So normally their PB ratio is very high.
So when you want to compare on PB ratio, you must compare with the same nature of business (as mention in PE Ratio Analyse).
PB ratio create a "Safe Impression". If the PB ratio is near to 1 or less then 1; then if anything happen, this company still can sell of its Asset and create that value to the share holder.
In most case, the Asset value is created by Product Stock of the company, building, machine, etc.
When you are using PB ratio as analysis, please also consider the nature of the business. If this business collapes, will the "Asset" decrease in value?
Note: PB ratio cannot be use as the only analyse index. Some NAV might over valued by the company to show it is more interesting.
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Evaluate Stock by PE Ratio
What is PE Ratio
PE Ratio stand for Price / Earning Ratio
How can we use PE ratio to evaluate the company?
For all company that making profit, they have the PE ratio. (Again it is come back to your strategy - long term or short term investment.)
Another way of looking at PE ratio is the Return of Investment (ROI). Let say Airasia make a profit of 22.4 sen per year and the current price is RM 1.20. Your ROI on investing this share in this price is
0.20 / 1.2 = 18.67% p.a
Of course, PE ratio is based on last year financial performance. Most of the company will annouce Financial Statement every Quarter. You can based on the latest financial status and calculate on the PE ratio. You can also look for past few years.
Glomac
Current Price is RM 1.25; that means the PE ratio is 9.5 (Expected)
If we based on last year performance; the PE ratio is 10.9 (As publish)
And your can calculate your ROI based on the current price. You will decide whether the ROI is good enough or not.
Of course, we have to evaluate the stock based on their business nature. It may not wise for us to compare PE ratio for Glomac and Public Bank. The movement of the price is different based on the nature of the business.
It will be more proper for us to evaluate Public Bank (11) vs Maybank (70) vs CIMB (17). or Glomac (10) vs UEM land (40) vs Gamuda (30).
This shows you which stock is more worth to buy.
Why not just based on current Price?
For stock, current price might not mean the real value.
Maybank current price RM 7.50 ; PE ratio is 70 ; ROI = 1.43%
Public Bank current price RM 11.7 ; PE ratio is 11 ; ROI = 9.09%
Can you tell me which stock is more worth to buy? Maybank or Public bank is over valued?
HISTORY
Rapco Holding in 1997 price went up to RM 140.50 per share. The highest PE ratio goes up to 370!!!
If you had know about PE ratio, will u pick up this stock? which your ROI is less then 1%
In 2001, the price is Rm 7.10; Now Rapco already delisted from second board.
PE ratio is a very important index; it will be useful even your strategy is for short term investment. You can evaluate the risk taken if you want to invest this stock as a short term investment.
Note:
Besides PE ratio, PB ratio is also a very important index. We will share about PB ratio in next article.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Trading Page
This time, we will share a standard view when you start a trading. This TRADING PAGE is an online view. Perhaps this Trading Page can help you to understand more on common term.
Column 6 shows the buying rate for today. When buying rate is high - meaning buying transection is high.
Eg. Total trade is 1000shares; 700 share is done on Selling Q (meaning people buy on the selling price) and 300 shares is done on the Buying Q (people buy the share by Q'ing) so the Buying Rate is 70%.
The yellow dotted column 1 shows the Buying Q and the Buying Price. Byuing Q meaning the number of shares is Q'ing to buy at the Buying Price
At the left bottom column; it shows a few Buying Q and Buying Price of CIMB.
Column 2 shows the Selling Q and Selling Price.
Column 3 shows the Last done Price.
Column 4 shows the Changes compare to Opening Price for the day. (For CIMB; this day is the Ex date for Bonus, so althought yesterday closing price is 14.42; but the actual equivalen price is 14.42 / 2 = 7.21 Because CIMB give out 1:1 bonuse share.)
Column 5 shows
L-V is last done volumn (how many share traded on the current price on last trade)
Vol is the volumn of the day. Take a look at GLOMAC, till this time there is still no trading for this share, so the volume is 0.
Eg. Total trade is 1000shares; 700 share is done on Selling Q (meaning people buy on the selling price) and 300 shares is done on the Buying Q (people buy the share by Q'ing) so the Buying Rate is 70%.
Column 7 is PE Ratio - Price / Earning Ratio. This is my favorite topic. This is one of the very important index for you to evaluate and analyse. We will discuss this topic in a later part.
As you can see there is Green "Buy" column and Red "Sell" column at the top right. This is column is to click if you want to start this trading. You will need to key in the Buying / Selling Price and the volumn on the next pop up.
Hopefully you had learned the basic from this page. Happy investing. If you have any question; you can always contact us on
Happy investing.
Sunday, May 16, 2010
Margin Trading
On previous post, we had introduce for normal trading. In this post we will touch on Margin Trading.
Margin Trading is a trading that can gain / lost money without keeping the share and not using your capital money. The profit / lost made through the difference (margin) of buying and selling the share within the payment due period (Normally is T +3).
For all trading, we need to pay to the Broker Company on T+3days. If you buy and sell the share within this date, you does not need to pay to the Broker Company on the share you buy; instead you will gain / lost the difference of the trading.
Example:
Case 1
Monday - buy 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.00
Tuesday - sell 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.10
The difference is RM 0.10 x 1000 units = RM 100
The Broker Company will bank in RM 100 - all broker fee to you by next Monday (T+3 from Tuesday).
Case 2
Monday - buy 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.00
Tuesday - sell 1000 units of ABC in RM 0.90
The difference is RM 0.10 x 1000 units = RM 100
You need to bank in / pay to the Broker Company RM 100 + all broker fee by next Monday (T+3 from Tuesday).
Some Broker Company offer more margin day up to T+5; this is depends on the offer the company give to you. But common is T+3.
Intra Day Trading is to trade your share within the same day. Most of the Broker Company will give you an offer of lower Broker Fee such as 0.2% per trade. The profit is made on the difference (Margin) as well.
This kind of trading is to make money with no capital, but the risk is high. This is totally a very short term investment.
Technical Data Analysis is a very important analysis tools in this case. We will discuss on Tech Data Analysis in later part.
Margin Trading is a trading that can gain / lost money without keeping the share and not using your capital money. The profit / lost made through the difference (margin) of buying and selling the share within the payment due period (Normally is T +3).
For all trading, we need to pay to the Broker Company on T+3days. If you buy and sell the share within this date, you does not need to pay to the Broker Company on the share you buy; instead you will gain / lost the difference of the trading.
Example:
Case 1
Monday - buy 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.00
Tuesday - sell 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.10
The difference is RM 0.10 x 1000 units = RM 100
The Broker Company will bank in RM 100 - all broker fee to you by next Monday (T+3 from Tuesday).
Case 2
Monday - buy 1000 units of ABC in RM 1.00
Tuesday - sell 1000 units of ABC in RM 0.90
The difference is RM 0.10 x 1000 units = RM 100
You need to bank in / pay to the Broker Company RM 100 + all broker fee by next Monday (T+3 from Tuesday).
Some Broker Company offer more margin day up to T+5; this is depends on the offer the company give to you. But common is T+3.
Intra Day Trading is to trade your share within the same day. Most of the Broker Company will give you an offer of lower Broker Fee such as 0.2% per trade. The profit is made on the difference (Margin) as well.
This kind of trading is to make money with no capital, but the risk is high. This is totally a very short term investment.
Technical Data Analysis is a very important analysis tools in this case. We will discuss on Tech Data Analysis in later part.
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